Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.130216e-04 0.000133 0.000154 0.000177 0.000203 0.000231 0.000262
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.330960e-05 0.000109 0.000137 0.000171 0.000210 0.000254 0.000305
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.992968e-05 0.000098 0.000131 0.000172 0.000220 0.000275 0.000341
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.852923e-05 0.000088 0.000125 0.000172 0.000229 0.000296 0.000378
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.974331e-05 0.000080 0.000119 0.000171 0.000236 0.000312 0.000408
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.003390e-05 0.000070 0.000110 0.000165 0.000235 0.000319 0.000427
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.489742e-05 0.000065 0.000107 0.000166 0.000243 0.000336 0.000457
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.765322e-05 0.000056 0.000098 0.000158 0.000239 0.000339 0.000470
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.448708e-05 0.000053 0.000097 0.000160 0.000247 0.000357 0.000501
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.085672e-05 0.000049 0.000093 0.000159 0.000252 0.000369 0.000526
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.916356e-05 0.000048 0.000094 0.000164 0.000263 0.000391 0.000562
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.688273e-05 0.000045 0.000092 0.000166 0.000271 0.000407 0.000591
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.321214e-05 0.000040 0.000086 0.000162 0.000271 0.000417 0.000615
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.022946e-05 0.000035 0.000081 0.000158 0.000273 0.000427 0.000640
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.149347e-06 0.000032 0.000078 0.000157 0.000277 0.000441 0.000668
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.751490e-06 0.000030 0.000076 0.000159 0.000286 0.000460 0.000705
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.226454e-06 0.000027 0.000073 0.000157 0.000289 0.000472 0.000731
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.660717e-06 0.000023 0.000067 0.000152 0.000286 0.000476 0.000748
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.875861e-06 0.000021 0.000066 0.000152 0.000293 0.000492 0.000780
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.797461e-06 0.000018 0.000060 0.000145 0.000287 0.000492 0.000790
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.404689e-06 0.000016 0.000059 0.000147 0.000295 0.000511 0.000825
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 9.812538e-07 0.000015 0.000057 0.000147 0.000299 0.000523 0.000853
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 8.175524e-07 0.000015 0.000058 0.000151 0.000311 0.000548 0.000897